Two bets I like tonight in Boston – Cleveland game. One is Under and better yet, Under for Cleveland team and Boston teams seperately. I don't see them scoring 87 and 97 points accordingly, I'm sorry. I'm not sure if they cover or not, but I got a feeling that Boston will win this one by 7 points (by more than 4, but by less than 10) so I really don't want to mess with the line that can go wrong with some final shot. But the Under got value here without a doubt. In two games in Boston, Cleveland score 87 and 70 (without LeBron) and Boston scored 92 and 80 points. I will take the regular Under, cause that is the bet I got available, but if you got the teams total, better to take that. I doubt that either of them will get the points set here, but that gives you a chance to get at least the money back, in case one team will go on a shooting spree to get the Over in the game.

Back to the Under issue. Boston played max defense in all four games against the Hawks at home, and the highest that Atlanta scored was 85 points only. I doubt that Cleveland will go higher than that. Atlanta plays in much faster pace and got much more scoring options than Cleveland. On the other hand, Boston shot great against Atlanta at home, scoring 104, 96, 110 and 99. Still, I believe that Cleveland got much better D than the Hawks and that will lead to lower score for the home team as well. 184 points means that either one team must score 93 points at least and have the other close to her or in case of a blowout, to score around 100 points, which will still force the other team to score 85 points. I doubt that either of the cases will happen today.



Pick : Under 184 points
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Betsson
Date : 2008-05-07
Match Result : 76-72
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