I ussualy don't bet on unders/overs because the odds are normally quite small, and because things are always hard to predict, but this one it's almost to good to be true, a line so low here makes me make this one.

Considering this match wil go under 9 to be the most provable outcome, isfor me a mistake, iof both pitchers were improving in their performances, or if both teams were hitting badly ok, but that's hardly the case here.

For starters, both teams will send in pitchers that ussualy don't last long in the game, they are going to pitch 5 6 innings at most, leaving a big part of the game to the teams bullpen – wich are very weack by the way – nationals 4,44 and pitsburg 6.20. so even if the pitchers don't give away lot's of chances, it's quite likely the bullpen's will.

But even the pitchers aren't having a great season so far, for the nationals it wil be T Reading on the mound he has a season ERA of 3,55, a positive one, but in the last 5 games reading hasn't been quite a pitcehr that stands for that kind of stats. Last 3 games he has a ERA of 4.76.

on the pitsburg side it will be I snell – this pitcher has a season ERA of 4,93, but in the last 3 games he has been performing in a lousyu way (ERA of 6,06!) - he has been showing some lacks in control and allowing lot's of hits even to teams that aren't performing that well at the moment like the mets, atlanta or florida, so in this game there will be lot's of opportunities for teams to score, the question is, will the teams take advantage of that?

Let's see the batters. Both teams aren't the best ones hitting, that's a fact, but they are a bit better lately, and especially when they face some weak pitching. They both have at the moment some players with confidence and i believe evenm if the pitchers don't blew it, the bulpen will make enought to the line to be overcome – it's a good bet in my oppinion.

Pick : over 9,5 runs
Odds : 2.20
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : 5dimes
Date : 2008-05-04
Match Result : 5-2
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