Can someone explain to me please why are the dodgers a underdog on this one? Maybe I’m missing some pretty important factor here, but I really cannot understand these odds. Well it’s quite obvious, no? The dodgers should be a favourite, I believe they should be a big favourite here. Why? Let me try to explain…

First of all the name is Brad Penny, simply one of the best pitchers in MLB, having a pretty good start of season – he has a season ERA of 2.89 – and he has been improving in the last 3 games , where he pitched simply great, showing a lot of control and keeping opponents scores to very few.

Jeff Francis will be the starting pitcher for Colorado – he has a season Era of 5.01 which is a bit worse then his usual , never the less he is a lot worse then penny, allowing much more BB and striking out a lot less. So in mind there are no question – the advantage in pitching goes for the dodgers here, and even if we look into the bullpen we see the dodgers are performing a lot better also in that important part of the game 3.78 vs 7.20.

In terms of batting the dodgers are doing it so much better then the roockies, they are hitting 0.303 vs 0.238 from the roockies. This factor will be the key to this large handicap bet, because it’s not enough to have penny keeping the opponents score to 2,3 runs at most, a team needs to have some players ready to take advantage of that, and in this moment the dodgers have them. They have 7,8 or 9 players hitting above 0.300 in the last week, so even if they rotate the lineup a bit ( I think they will) they still have enough power to make this bet count. Nice offer from the bookies.

Another piece of information important on this one is the series of 6 straight wins from the dodgers, I know it will end somewhere, I simply don’t believe it will be tonight.



Pick : Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) handicap
Odds : 3.35
Stake : 9 / 10
Bookmaker : 5dimes
Date : 2008-05-03
Match Result : 6-11
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