We'll take something a bit different in this match as I like the total market far more than anything else on offer in this game.

People are expecting a big win for the Blues tonight in Queensland but i'm not so sure,they did everything last week but win the game against the Crusaders and now that the pressure is off them it would'nt surprise me at all if they suddenly played like Champions,the intresting thing about that is that the Reds have been playing without pressure for the last few weeks and are already playing like Champions,if I was going to pick a clear winner in this game i'd back the Blues but only marginally as both sides can score points and I don't think this is going to be the flogging many seem to be thinking it will be.

The Reds are still missing players most notably Latham but they have show in recent games that they can play a full game and can score points,they are now unbeaten in their last 3 at home winning against the Force,Bulls and Brumbies and doing it easily as well,they are averaging 27 points at home this season and conceed 17 ppg and I expect them to be around both those marks tonight.

The Blues lost last week but will want to make amends this week for that loss and they should do it,but don't discount the Reds here and for those reasons thats why I like the total more than picking a clear winner,the Blues can score points ,they have kept Ncacewa at Fly half and Evans at fullback,they keep Smith on the field which will help them score points and they bring Toeava back in as well at Centre,the Blues avergae on the road this season 32 points and conceed 24.

Games between these two are pretty good,the Blues won last season in Auckland 38-13 and won at Suncorp two seasons ago 20-21.

Both sides can score points and both sides allow points,while I think a winners bet for this match will be the Blues by 12 points or less,the total is more appealing to me,the Blues still have faint hopes of making the Top 4 and are looking for 4 trys and a bonus win by more than 7 to get the maximum 5 points,I can see this game being an open affair with points a plenty,take the total in this one...Good Luck.

Pick : Total Points over 44.5
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 9 / 10
Bookmaker : Centrebet
Date : 2008-05-02
Match Result : 22-35
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