Houston are in a must win situation. I think that they can do that. Why? First of all, Utah won two road games in one series! If they will make a sweep of three road games in one series, than the regular season really means nothing and shouldn't be held at all. Utah's home record is a honey trap I believe. You are starting as an underdog automatically on a road and as a favorite at home. You rely on the home and as long as Utah knows that they still got a home game left to win the series, they psychologically in disadvantage.

Rockets on the other hand as I said, in a must win situation of course. Since Alston is back, they won on a road game number three and were a rebound away from possible second road win. They rely one on another and believe in each other and that spirit should really help them when they are trying to get the first win of the series at home.

T-Mac should give a great home game and Battier should hit them threes and Alston will be that missing player that should organize Rockets offense. Utah can win this one, but they are much bigger underdogs than the odds or the line indicate I believe. The line should have been 3 – 4 points and the odds around 2.5.

P.S. the odds are in Lasseters

Pick : Rockets -1
Odds : 1.92
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : 10bet
Date : 2008-04-30
Match Result : 95-69
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