Tonight I’m going again on the A’s , they have better momentum , they have confidence, and tonight again they have all in their behalf. The problem with seattle right now is that they simply aren’t being able to hit enough and while the opposite team continue to put in the start, a good pitcher their confidence isn’t going to improve.

The A’s will not facilitate tonight – they are sending in Justin duscherer a great pitcher, that started this season on a pretty smooth way – ERA of 1.80 on a 5 innings pitch against the Cleveland – he strike out a lot and showed great control.

Erik Bedard will start for the mariners, bedard is a bit worse then duscherer and made two apperances so far – in both games he didn’t let his teammates down- he has a season ERA of 3.27, but he still showed some control problems walking four times in each game (almost a walk per inning), witch can only be a bad sign having in mind that if the mariners want to win, they cannot allow many runs, because they won’t score many for sure.

But there is another big difference in pitching tonight, with these two pitchers – we can expect either one of them to pitch 5, 6 innings at most, so, we are leaving a significant part of the game to the bullpen, and this is where things get nasty for the mariners – in fact their bullpen hasn’t still got it – they have a terrible bullpen ERA (5.17) against a reasonable one from the A’s (3.13), and this factor can count, and can count a lot.

In terms of batting we’ve said it already – mariners are down in confidence and hitting very few times.0.298 vs 0.219 is a big difference in the last 7 games not to be taken in consideration. So for me this handicap is quite a good bet.



Pick : Oakland A's (-2.5) handicap
Odds : 4.65
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : 5dimes
Date : 2008-04-27
Match Result : 5-3
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