I really can’t understand why these team are being set up for tonight as having almost equal chances of winning, for me the giants should prevail tonight and they have every aspect of the game to do it.

If we just look at this season’s ERA from the pitchers the difference is huge in favour of the giants but I don’t believe Cincinnati pitcher (Belisle) is that bad – he had a terrible start against a very strong team (Angles), and has only played that game – he has a ERA of 11.25! I don’t think he will perform that bad tonight, but never the less he is still in worse conditions then the giants starting pitcher for tonight – Kevin Correia – he has a season ERA of 4.21 but he can do better, at least he did so last year. Correia has face some pretty hot teams on the bat, so he has allowed a bit more hits then usual, but tonight facing a medium batting team I expect him to shine, and do a very good match – he everything to that. He usually does better with the cincinatti, then Belisle usually does with the giants, so in my opinion the edge on pitching goes for the giants here. Another important aspect is that the giants pitcher should last longer in the Cincinnati one, so the advantage in terms of bullpen the giants have will matter.

In terms of batting San Francisco also has the edge, they have been batting 0.263 against 0.249 in the last 7 matches. In fact the Giants are going true a better phase of the season, having won 5 out of the last 7 games, while Cincinnati seems to be heading a opposite way – losing 6 out of the last 8 games.

So for me this handicap is a good option.



Pick : San Francisco Giants (-1.5) handicap
Odds : 3.24
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-04-27
Match Result : 9-10
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