The key in this match will be ofense. In fact it all seems to be heading to seattle way, but I’m guessing the real value on this bet will go the the Baltimore offensive.

It seems the mariners would have a advantage on the pitching staff tonight, and it’s true carlos silva (seattle) is doing a lot better then Daniel Cabrera (Baltimore), but that difference isn’t real to me. Carlos silva has a good start, much better then his career stats, but that won’t last very long, even because he has faced some teams with a very weak offensive at the moment. Daniel Cabrera has a very regular stats in his career, he started this season with a terrible game (that ruined his season stats) but he ahs been recovering from that day on – he made 3 regular stars and participated on 3 wins from his team in the last 3 games.

Thu bullpen’s are similar, and the main factor for me will be the offensive of Baltimore – they are hitting a lot better lately – in fact seattle are going true a slump in terms of batting and with pitchers both at a regular level, the batting will have particular importance – in fact both pitchers are expected to allow some hits (or at least some hit chances) and my opinion Baltimore batters are going to take advantage of that a lot more.

So, Baltimore being the underdog the choice is clear to me: Orioles here.



Pick : Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) handicap
Odds : 2.78
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-04-24
Match Result : 3-2
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