I know that Niki is watching his back after corruption cases that he was assumed to be involved but I can't let such price for Jurgen who is good clay player. Besides that we are on other surface - clay which is more favourite by Melzer also we have to admit that they played twice and even if Davydenko won both matches it wasn't any easy ride. Melzer on clay present good game and Russian always have to give his best to beat him. I hope that Jurgen will be able to use the fact that Davydenko is still more on hard game style and also that he had to be very tired. Nikolay since title in Miami where he beat Nadal in final, also played in Davis Cup where he clashed in two matches, one 4 sets and second 5 sets. Even for player from top it's very hard to move to three different tournaments in short period of time and also when they have to change surface they used to play at. I hope that Nikolay feels in his bones last matches and won't be able to play such superb tennis. He is excellent player on clay too but matches against Jurgen always were difficult for him and maybe it's time to take a break after big successes and give up in first round? We will see..

Pick : Melzer to win!
Odds : 4.50
Stake : 3 / 10
Bookmaker : Boylesports
Date : 2008-04-16
Match Result : 1-2
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