Besides one blowout by Suns of the Spurs, the biggest margin in their last ten games between them was 8 points. More than that, the dog took the line in five out of last six encounters between them. So there is definite value in Suns tonight, we just have to understand to which extent.

As I see it, if O'Neal plays tonight, it should be Suns win. Duncan can't jandle him and shakes at the mere mention of his name and his presence in the paint also doesn’t allow Ginibli's penetrations. If he is out, than the value is only with the line, but still, decent value, because the Suns got a good team even without Shaq with them and as long as Nash and Amare in good form, they can beat any team, in any place.

Parker and Nash can't handle each other, but Tomas can't handle Amare as well and that is one up for the Suns in match ups. If O'Neal is out, than Skinner, the guy they brought to guard Duncan will step up and should do the job. If Bell will manage to defend Ginobili, we got ourselves a dog winner.

I will play it safe, as my latest bad luck shows that I should and invest more in safer bet.



Pick : Suns +7
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 9 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-04-10
Match Result : 79-96
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:

Viewed 746 times.