AFC Champions League, 3. day, Group D, Al-Quadsia vs. Gharrafa

I usually don´t play over/under in football, but when you have a bookie with juicy (high) odds, it´s worth a try. I´m talking about Bwin and games between Arabian teams. Al-Quadsia from Kuwait host Gharaffa from Qatar. I expect a tight game, as only the group winner will qualify for the quarter-finals. Al-Quadsia played so far 1-1 at home vs. Arbil (IRQ) and won at Pakhtakor Tashkent (UZB) 1-0. Gharrafa played 1-1 away vs. Arbil and 2-2 at home against the Uzbeks. Al-Quadsia clinched the title in Kuwait 11 times, but failed recently, this year they finish second behind Al-Kuwait. On the other side Gharrafa won easily the Qatar league with 9 points clear and an awesome 10-1-1 away record. This game is very important for both sides, Gharrafa will be more under pressure after the draw at home and will be with a defeat probably out of race for the top spot.

Al-Quadsia will miss several players, Tunisian midfielder Ben Achour, defender Rached, midfielder Mousa and striker Al Mutawa. Gharrafa will miss striker Sattam and defender Al Haj. This game is too important and both teams will be satisfied with a draw, so 2.10 for under 2,5 goals is set too high. I expect a draw or a narrow home win.

Pick : under 2,5 goals
Odds : 2.10
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Bwin
Date : 2008-04-09
Match Result : 1-0
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