Nadal has showed great game so far as well as Davydenko after his weak start in the tournament. Two players in topform and Davydenko handling the game to troublesome Nadal to speak he has realistic chances to win the game. Nadal's nevergivingup-attitude against Davydenko's weak mentality should give the edge for Nadal. Surprisingly Davydenko has 14-3 finalrecord, not giving an impression he has problems to handle finals. Though Davydenko's finals have been smaller ones and his opponents haven't been from the top of the game but that gives a hope he can handle the pressure in the finals. You can never underestimate the will of players to win the game but in this case I see Nadal's mental edge raising the odds too much for Davydenko. Davydenko to win the game with a bit bigger odds and to win the first set're representing about the same value for me and selecting the bet what goes right more often in a long run.

Of course one might think Davydenko has lost the match before it has even started if you think about what he says about Nadal: "I don't know anymore. I really ‑‑ like, he's physically so fit. It's amazing, because I saw he play in 1:00, you know, like super hot. And for him I think he don't care, you know, playing night session or day session. He running so much. You know, he fighting. I don't know what I can do. I remember against him in Rome played three sets three hours, and I was completely dead. (laughter.) He was also tired, but in last points, you know, last game, I don't know how he find, you know, his power, hitting his balls. You know, I have no chance already. Then this time ‑‑ that's was I was thinking how Djokovic beat him in Indian Wells so easy.

Maybe I need to ask Djokovic how he can beat Nadal."

But that's more like his style to speak about games like he said after his Roddick-win: "But in first set I didn't know if I can win this match, because I have no chance returning. He had good serve, you know, like amazing. I had no chance to returning. And, like, I feeling if he break me once, I cannot to win, you know, set."

Pick : Nikolay Davydenko to win the first set
Odds : 2.50
Stake : 3 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Match Result : 2-0
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