I hate going against high lines, since it means that my bet will depend on some garbage time cover and that always means that there is a possibility for a back door cover.

Still, I watched the GSW and Dallas games last night and it's playoff time ladies and gentleman. Both teams played strong 48 minutes. GSW won the game in the first half, going on the break with 14 points lead. Still, won by 10 points the third quarter, and by 6 the fourth, never letting go of the gas and winning all four quarters. It is very tempting to take Denver at HT with smaller line, but I seen several times Denver playing mediocre first half to come back strong in the second half, so I will stay of this one, at least as tipping goes, cause I probably will go with Denver's handicap on all four quarters, as I believe that Denver if not duplicates GSW's accomplishment last night, will win at least three out four, and that means a nice win. That is also my main recommendation to those who have that possibility at their bookies, cause for Denver to cover such line, they will have to play strong the entire game and not settle for a strong one quarter performance.

Two things still worry me. One is the fact that Denver plays B2B and will play in Seattle tomorrow. Not the hardest game to play, but still, may rest some starters in garbage time, hence the back door cover. The second is that I expected once already a blow out by Denver against the Kings and than Denver won, but by 4 points only (the line was 14), so don't want to fall for the same thing twice.

Having said that, I will go with my feelings and that is that Denver wouldn't want the energies to go down and that means, to play good ball all the games remaining, all 48 minutes of them.

I like the Hawks play even more, but will wait for the line to rise a bit and will make the tip later today. If you can take them +7 with decent odds, do it right now. I don't believe the line will go down, but why wait when you got a great bet on your hands?



Pick : Denver -11
Odds : 1.94
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Canbet
Date : 2008-04-06
Match Result : 115-118
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