Do or die game for the host, the last chance to keep the hopes alive to stay in the Bundesliga. The opponent, Ried, is the best possible they could get. If we look at the table we see them at 7. place, they got nothing to play for and will probably finish 7. or 8. Ried is, together with Innsbruck, the worst away team with 3-1-12 12:36(-24), they lost away 6 in a row, catched the last point on Nov. 24 in Mattersburg. For this game they will miss the two most important midfielders Drechsel, the brain of this team (9 goals so far), and Kovacevic (both suspended). Another important midfielder, Brenner, is injured. So they will lack creativity and - motivation.

Wacker Innsbruck is not the worst side in Austria, Kärnten and Altach aren´t better than them, but cleverer inside and outside the pitch. Tomorrow they have to win, a draw would not be enough, as I expect a win (or draw at least) for FC Kärnten vs. Altach (Wacker is 5 points behind Kärnten). Wacker has a decent midfield (Hölzl, Hattenberger, Kolousek, Lindström), but no finisher. The Hungarian Orosz scored 9 goals so far, but he needs a half dozen (at least) chances to net in, as the whole team is inefficient in front of the goal. Tomorrow they will miss two important defenders, Feldhofer and Madl, due to suspension. Wacker played a lot of draws (4-7-5 at home), where they were the clear better team and I´m afraid this gonna be happen again.

Nevertheless, this pick is worth some mid-high stake as Wacker has the perfect opponent (worst away team with important absences and no motivation). My odds would be about 1.80.

Pick : Wacker Innsbruck
Odds : 2.30
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : BlueSQ
Date : 2008-04-05
Match Result : 1-0
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