Forest Green host Burton Albion today.

Forest Green are on 8th place, 9 points below the playoff line and seems they've missed their chance this season. Their record at home is 10-5-5 with a 40-30 GD. They've had a chaotic first part of the season at home, all matches going over the 2.5 line, but lately they've settled down, playing more tightly. They have gathered 6 points from their last 5 games, and only have 3 wins in their last 8 here. Now, their main striker Fleetwood, who scored almost 40% of the team's goals this season, will be serving a 3-match ban after a violent foul in the Torquay game. They've lost the appeal to that decision and will have to do without him, which in my opinion will badly damage their offensive performances. Anthony Tonkin is again doubtful so John Hardiker is poised to keep his place in defence.

Burton Albion are 3rd in the standings, but only 3 points above the line, with Exeter coming strong from behind for a playoff spot. They need positive results or they risk ruining all their work so far. They have an 8-9-3 away record with a 29-17 GD. After 13 games without defeat away from home, they have 3 losses in a row against Woking, Salisbury and York. Now they seem to be getting back on track, having won 2 and drawn 2 in their last 4 away. They are 3-1-1 in their last 5 games and they will be chasing at least a point today. Striker Daryl Clare is a doubt for Burton so Jake Edwards could start alongside Matthew Williams. Darren Stride is also doubtful while Andy Corbett (broken foot) and keeper Kevin Poole (hamstring) are out. Clare is their main offensive player and without him they would also have problems in that sector. Nevertheless, they have a better defense than Forest has and this could be crucial tonight.

The first game in Burton ended 1-1, and today i expect a similar tight match. The most likely outcome is a draw, but an away win would not surprise me, as Forest have no motivation left, while the visitors need to ensure their playoff spot with at least a point today. Good luck.



Pick : Burton not to lose
Odds : 1.50
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Stan James
Date : 2008-03-31
Match Result : 3-1
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