I back here the in-form Brechin, who are chasing a play-off spot, being 6., 4 points behind Alloa. The price looks pretty decent to me, as Cowdenbeath is playing rather poor lately. With the last home defeats vs. Berwick(!) and Queens Park, they gonna face the play-off relegation battle, as I don´t expect them to rise again in the last 6 games. They are now 5 points behind Queens Park, lost 5 home-games in a row with 15 goals concedeing. 1-1-8 in the last 10 doesn´t look better either, if they continue like this, we will see them in the Third Division next season.

Brechin City is a former First Division side and, as I mentioned, hoping to catch a place in the play-offs. They had a bad start last year, but showed in the second half, that they are capable to compete with the best teams in the league. The last time they lost an away game was on Nov. 10 and the opponent was, what a surprise, Cowdenbeath. Since then Brechin has a formidable 6-3-0 outside their Glebe Park, where they lost in January against - Cowdenbeath. Three important players extended their contracts on Monday, one of them is probably the best Brechin player, midfielder Kevin Byers, who refused a lucrative offer by the Third Division champions East Fife.

My estimation is, that Brechin has more than 50% to gain 3 points for the first time this season against the Blue Brazil Boys. I expect both teams to score, 1-3 or 2-3 would be O.K.

Pick : Brechin
Odds : 2.10
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Expekt
Date : 2008-03-29
Match Result : 0-2
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