Even though the spread is huge, i just have to try this one, even with medium stakes. Utah Jazz host the LA Clippers.

Jazz are are 4th in the Western Conference, but having an easier schedule in these last 10 games, there is almost no pressure on the team. Still, knowing how well they play at home(31-4), they will surely desire a place as high as possible in the standings, to have that extra home game in the playoffs and consequently bigger chances of going through. The Jazz are coming after 4 games at home, 3 of them they've won by DD and a bad defeat against the Lakers. In the last game they've defeated the Bobcats by 22 points, and tonight i expect a similar match.

The LA Clippers are 12th in the West, and of course with no chances for the playoffs. Their season was affected by numerous injuries, but also their value is not at a playoff-level in my opinion. They have lost their last 3 at home and their last 7 away, and will now be facing the best home team of the league. Kaman seems to be back in action after his injury, but the lack of motivation on the visitors side will surely be a factor tonight. Brand, Davis, Livingston and Williams are injured for the visitors, but all are bench players and will only have a minor influence on the game.

The Jazz and Clippers met three times this season:

23.02.2008 NBA LA Clippers - Utah Jazz 114:104

21.01.2008 NBA LA Clippers - Utah Jazz 93:109

19.01.2008 NBA Utah Jazz - LA Clippers 106:88

The first two were a home-and-home series and the Jazz had absolutely no problems defeating the Clippers. The third game was in LA, and despite Utah's better play, they just had some bad shooting from the 3-point line(0 of 13) and also very bad shooting from free-throws(26 of 38). With normal percentages from these spots, the Jazz would have won by 5 or 10 points there also. Now they have the home advantage again, and a big motivation to finish as high as possible in the standings. With the Clippers having problems scoring lately, and also with very bad second halves, adding Utah's excellent starts, i believe the hosts can get a 15-25 points win tonight. But i will only go middle stakes on this one, as the spread is a bit too big for my comfort. Good luck.

Pick : Jazz -15
Odds : 1.94
Stake : 5 / 10
Bookmaker : Canbet
Date : 2008-03-28
Match Result : 121-101
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