Utah Jazz host the Seattle Supersonics.

There is no question tonight who will win this, but the 20 points line is too big for my common sense to grab. They will win it by 15-25 points, but i cannot comfortably put money on a 20-point line without any serious injuries on the opponent's side. Some short infos about the teams:

Jazz are 4th in the Western Conference, 5 games above the line, and by the way they are playing at home, it is hard to believe they can lost the playoff spot. They have the best home record, 29-4, but a series of 18 wins in a row at home was blown in the last game by the LA Lakers with an 11-point win, mainly because of their good shooting. Seattle are 2nd worst team in the league. They have lost 8 in a row away from home, but the last 3 games were a nightmare, facing the Celtics(29 pts), Nuggets(52 pts) and Lakers(25 pts). Still, the Celtics are the best, while the other two shot over 60% from the field, thus producing these margins. The Supersonics were not that bad, but still lost big. What i really want to say is that even though they lost by some big margins, they played decently, and the 20-point line is dangerous to grab. So in my opinion it would be wise to take Carlos Boozer to perform good tonight and grab 32 Point+Rebounds or more.

Boozer is averaging 21.4 points and 10.7 rebounds this season. So the 31.5 line is actually set under his season average. This is why i find it so tempting. Boozer's latest performances haven't been so encouraging:

- 20 points and 11 rebounds against the Bucks

- 17 points and 12 rebounds against the Celtics

- 41 points and 9 rebounds against the Nets

- 13 points and 10 rebounds against the Raptors

- 23 points and 15 rebounds against the Lakers

Against the Celtics it was expected for him to under-perform. Against the Raptors he just did not take enough shots(6 our of 10). In the rest of the games he played well, and tonight, i expect a better performance than in the Lakers game.

The Jazz met the Supersonics three times this season and Boozer had the following performances:

- in the 103-101 win in Seattle, he had 27 points and 15 rebounds in only 32 minutes while shooting 10 of 19

- in the 96-75 win in Utah, he had 21 points and 16 rebounds in 38 minutes while shooting 10 of 16

-in the 112-93 win in Seattle, he had 22 points and 11 rebounds in 38 minutes while shooting 9 of 17

Tonight i expect the Jazz to go above the 110 line, and considering Okur is back after an injury and he wil probably under-perform, this leaves more rebounding and a bit more shooting to Carlos Boozer. The 31.5 line is more than tempting, as i expect him to get 25-30 points and 10-15 rebounds tonight. Good luck.

Pick : Carlos Boozer over 31.5 Points+Rebounds
Odds : 1.85
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Triobet
Date : 2008-03-23
Match Result : 26 Points + 13 Rebs
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