Atalanta host Catania this afternoon.

Atalanta are 8th in the standings, with chances for a UEFA Cup spot. Their home record is 6-6-2 with a 31-20 GD. After 3 draws in a row, they've won their last 2 matches impressively:

16.03.2008 ITA 1 Atalanta-Empoli 4:1

27.02.2008 ITA 1 Atalanta-Sampdoria 4:1

24.02.2008 ITA 1 Atalanta-Siena 2:2

09.02.2008 ITA 1 Atalanta-Fiorentina 2:2

27.01.2008 ITA 1 Atalanta-Reggina 2:2

Catania are one of the relegation candidates, standing only one point above the line. Their record away is 0-5-10, with a 10-27 GD. Their last 5 away were all defeats, and are now on a 9-game losing streak away, and today i believe number 10 is coming:

16.03.2008 ITA 1 Sampdoria - Catania 3:1

02.03.2008 ITA 1 Livorno - Catania 1:0

24.02.2008 ITA 1 Empoli - Catania 2:0

17.02.2008 ITA 1 Fiorentina - Catania 2:1

03.02.2008 ITA 1 Genoa - Catania 2:1

Catania are simply without ideas in the midfield, and their defense has been conceding a lot, especially away. Doni should have another great performance today, and if Atalanta manage to shut down Vargas, i believe they can win this by a 2-goal difference. I expect a score like 3-1 here, and the odds for a HW are above 2 in some places, so the value is there to get it. Good luck.

Pick : Atalanta -0.5
Odds : 2.07
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-03-22
Match Result : 0-0
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