Another pick based on actual form and, no question, based on value. Derby-time in Switzerland, Basel (2.) vs. Grasshoppers (4.). If we see pure stats, Basel 10-1-1 at home, Grasshoppers 3-2-7 away, there is no value to found. But in reality, 5.50 for Grasshoppers to win, 3.30 AH0, 2.33 for +0,5 (10bet) and this bet is value pure. Why ?

Basel is playing bad and the atmosphere inside the team is even worse. Captain Ivan Ergic (midfield) and defender Daniel Majstorovic had a verbal clash, goalie Franco Costanzo critisized the tactic of coach Gross in front of the players. Gross told the press, all differences are cleared. I´m not sure so. Basel has 4-1-2 13:10(+ 3) in 2008, 5-1-4 including Swiss Cup and UEFA Cup. To compare Grasshoppers has 5-1-1 with 17: 4 (+13), the defeat was very unlucky vs. Zürich. So actually Grasshoppers is the second best team in Switzerland (behind YB). The rise of form has to do with the comebacks of midfielder Cabanas, defender Smiljanic and the in-form Argentine striker Bobadilla (6 goals in 7 games). Touré, Sutter and Zarate are injured, respectively not fit yet. If they continue like this, they will overtake Zürich and finish 3rd. The situation in Basel: Chipperfield, Streller, Degen and Morganella are injured, Perovic is questionable, Marque and Carlitos are back (they were suspended).

As I can not imagine a Basel win with more than one goal, I take this pick with max. stake!



Pick : Grasshoppers + 1
Odds : 1.70
Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365
Date : 2008-03-19
Match Result : 2-1
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