Thus so far i wasn't really lucky with Danish Play-off, and i think it even went good as there was incredible number of surprises, i'm really highly confident about SonderyjskE win today.

SonderjyskE is only favorized team that went through 1/4 Finals without scratch. Odense easily eliminated favorized (but in some troubles) AaB, Herning needed seven games to eliminate Totempo, coming back after 1:3 in series. But the biggest surprise was Rodrove elimination from Fredrikshavn. Never, in whole history of Al-Bank Ligaen, eight seeded team eliminated first, and it happen this season. It was hard fought victory, 4:3 in series, and i think that crucial was big nervousis in Rodrove team, inexperience in Play-off and lack of luck. Fredrikshavn was deadly from PP, but played really disciplined and their goalie was great.

I don't think it will help them against "black horse" of every Play-off serie in last few seasons. SonderjyskE is always "somewhere near", they are used to play in SemiFinals and Finals of Play-off and have one of the best fans in Denmark. They didn't choked against Nordsjelland Cobras, winning 4:1 in serie, making three out of four wins with high difference (5:0, 5:0, 6:3).

For this match Sonder won't have any problems with squad, while Fredrikshavn Martin Spanhel (6g+14a) is questionable.

SonderjyskE is one of the strongest home teams, in regular season they made W15-D3-L5 115:64 record and in Play-off continued in big style, having won all three home games, two with high margins - 5:0, 5:0, 4:3OT.

Fredrikshavn wasn't so good away, in fact they made two major upsets in Rodrove, but i still think they aren't real Play-off material and will have big problems in Vojens. In regular season they were one of the worst teams on the road (W4-D4-L15 58:98 ) and they are traditionally "easy prey" for SonderjyskE who has W5-D2-L1 record over them in last three seasons. This season meetings only prove it:

2008-02-22 Frederiksh. 2-2,3-2SO SonderjyskE

2008-01-18 SonderjyskE 7-4 Frederiksh.

2007-12-18 Frederiksh. 3-5 SonderjyskE

2007-11-20 SonderjyskE 9-0 Frederiksh.

2007-10-19 Frederiksh. 2-3 SonderjyskE

Because of many surprising results in this seasons Play-off in Denmark my stake isn't as high as it would be in some other circumstances where it would be much higher. Just look at the facts - SonderjyskE with a week rest, playing at home against Fredrikshavn who just ended seven game series vs Rodrove, with only two days to rest after big celebration?? SonderjyskE is great bet, with incredible odds for handicap bet and i think SonderjyskE will win with ease here...

Pick : SonderjyskE (-1,5)
Odds : 2.02
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-03-14
Match Result : 6-0
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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