Fourth match of the 1/2 Finals, Frisk leads 2:1 (4:5OT, 7:3, 4:0)

As i said in my yesterdays Comet - Frisk preview, tiredness, quality difference and illness took it's cost in Comet team and Frisk easily won 4:0. Questionable first goalie Grotnes played and, same as i expected, he wasn't as his best having only 88% of SVS. Comet team was very nervous and made few big mistakes, took too many penalties, conceded with player more, and didn't managed to score PP2 that lasted almost full 2 mins.

As i already wrote about Frisk, they are strong home team, very efficient and this season (including Play-off) they failed to win at home only four times - twice against Storhamar, once against Valerenga and Stavanger. In current situation Frisk has the edge, Comet is in downtrend and against Frisk it's really a problem to turn the series back. Home win looks good, but odds aren't good, while hcp bet looks like much better choice. Two goals difference aren't big in hockey, and it's not problem acquiring it, especially if result is close in last few mins, there is always chance of empty netter (but i don't rely on that, i think Frisk will win it comfortably). Frisk has chance to decide the serie now, Comet won't be able to come from 1:3 and i think Frisk will use their current momentum. Mutual meetings this season:

2008-03-13 Comet 0-4 Frisk Asker

2008-03-11 Frisk Asker 7-3 Comet

2008-03-09 Comet 4-4,5-4OT Frisk Asker

2008-02-21 Frisk Asker 5-4 Comet

2008-01-10 Comet 5-2 Frisk Asker

2007-12-02 Frisk Asker 5-2 Comet

2007-10-18 Comet 3-5 Frisk Asker

I expect Frisk win with at least two goals difference, but probably more...

Pick : Frisk (-1,5)
Odds : 1.71
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365
Date : 2008-03-14
Match Result : 7-4
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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