Let's try some under/over pick. First - why I tip under pick and not clear Kiefer win who is a strong favorite here. Because I got a bad feeling that Nick can't mess this up. This under seems very good to me because I don't see a 3'set fight in this match. Nicolas as I know him from court is a player who will win clear without set loss or after first close set loss will start to panic and easily give up next one and the whole match. I don't think that he will loss to Sela, he is in better form right now, but you never know, so I'm taking this under which seems the best for me. Sela in last weeks didn't impress too much. Clear loses to Gonzalez (who is only a shadow of last year AO revelation), Falla and Johansson who are a little bit worse than German Kiefer. H2h is 1:0 for Nicolas, who beat Sela in China Open in 2007 without set loss. I think now he can do this too, because Sela don't look that he made big improvements in his game. Kiefer didn't play too much in this season and always in early stages of tours met 'the tour's revelations' like in Las Vegas against Querrey who really was playing lifetime game and in Australian Open against Ferrero who really moved on upper level of tennis game in that Grand Slam. Kiefer is well-experienced and still very dangerous player (match against Federer in 2007 real nice game show) and I think he will move out Sela like he moved Becker in LA without any set loss or even a danger of losing a set. I see two probably stories here: Kiefer with his normal game will quickly out stand Sela and win 2:0 or he won't be enough focused and Sela will use it to win the first set on close game and in second as I know Kiefer execute fast. Both look under 22 games to me. Good Luck!

Pick : Under 22 games
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-03-13
Match Result : 32 Games
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