27. round of the Austrian Bundesliga

Due to the hurricane "Emma" this game was postponed on Saturday. I got to play it today because of huge value. The Austrian Bookies Admiral, Bet-at-home, GWbet and Wettpunkt offer between 1,55 and 1,70 for the handicap. So 1,90 by Bet365 is definitely a great offer. I mean their Asian is 1,875 for -1,75, so no other comment necessary.

My personal odds would be 1,65.

Salzburg has by far the best home record: 11-1-1 33:8(+25), a unlucky loss vs. Austria Wien and a bad game, a draw vs. Kärnten. On the other side Innsbruck has the worst away record 1-3-9 9:30(-21). Salzburg played 2 one-sided games at home after the winter break: 4-0 against Mattersburg, also 4-0 ag. Altach, I rate Innsbruck on the same level as Altach. Salzburg is superior on their artificial pitch, 8 of their 11 wins are handicap-wins. 7 of 9 losses by Wacker are by 2 or more goals and now the opponent is by far the best home team in Austria, I would say the best Austrian team generally, no offend to Rapid and Austria fans. Innsbruck lost 1-2 vs. Mattersburg, their only away game after the break.

Salzburg has two important missings: midfielder Aufhauser (flu) and defender Kovac (calf). Hölzl (Wacker) is suspended.

Because of value I bet with medium high stakes. Expected results: 3-0, 3-1, 4-1

Good luck!

Pick : RB Salzburg -1
Odds : 1.90
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365
Date : 2008-03-05
Match Result : 2-0
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