One more bad match-up for Federer and he hasn't been doing well lately against players who against he doesn't match-up well. Murray defences well, moves as an allcourter and is smart player. Federer has high risk once again outplay himself with easy errors while his opponents returns the ball too many times and Murray is himself able too to hit winners trough Federer even that's not too easy. Federer has a history being a bit rusty on the first rounds and this time he has had relatively long time without games. Probably he is in fit as he always is and he has won four times Dubai during latest five years, in between one loss for Nadal in the final. Murray has no previous matches at Dubai. I rate Murray as a player who is maby able to give Federer a run for his money even on the grass. Last year was hard for Murray because his back and wrist injuries but this season he has continued convincing performances. Two tournament wins and only losses at AO against Tsonga, who has totally different gamestyle compared Federer. For Safin at Kooyong what is pointless tournament and most likely a letdown loss for Haase at Rotterdam. Murray said after his loss that it was one of the tournaments where you can lose on the first rounds without losing ATP-points, looks for me he decided to rest.

Pick : Andy Murray
Odds : 4.37
Stake : 5 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Match Result : Murray 2-1
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