Taking this early as i think this odds will fall and i see them very valueable.

St. Etienne finally found their form, winning seven points in last four games, drawing with Lyon (1:1), beating Nancy (4:0) and Caen (3:1). Only slump was away loss to Strasbourg (0:3), but as their form recently wasn't so good this streak is magnificent result, especially as they've met two from the top three teams (Lyon and Nancy).

On Sunday they will host Nice, team that is four places above them, but only three points separate this two, and if St. Etienne wants to enter Euro-competition they need points against direct rivals.

Nice form lately isn't really the best, for team that lost only six games till date they aren't performing good as they didn't won since 23rd January, last five games. In fact they had easy schedule meeting teams positioned from 12th-18th place, only stronger opponent they had in fifth Marseille and they've lost that match (0:2).

Away they are bad, only W2-D7-L4 8:11 and their main problem is scoring goals (and that's becoming their main problem as they scored only once in last three games). Against St. Etienne they will have hard time as St. Etienne is incredible good at home, especially in defensive part. Their record pictures it well: W8-D3-L1 19:3. They concede in every fourth match.

Following their recent form, quality difference that i think is on home side, and St. Etienne home advantage i can see St. Etienne as bigger favorite then odds suggest. It's still unclear who will be in line up, and because of that i won't go as high as i thought in first place. Medium high stake here

Pick : St. Etienne
Odds : 2.05
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : SportingBet
Date : 2008-03-02
Match Result : 0-0
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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