I took this earlier today @2.40, but i didn't posted analysis on time.... Odds are still good for medium bet.

Last round in Danish Al-Bank Ligaen and situation is almost clear. Rodovre is regular champion, Herning is 2nd, AaB is currently third and SonderjyskE fourth, but they could switch places.

On the bottom it's not the same situation, Totempo has 55 points and they are surley in Play-off cause of better H2H with Fredrikshavn, but Frederikshavn and Esbjerg lead a "dead race" for Play-off. Now with last win Esbjerg is in much better situation, two points ahead and needs only OT against AaB to enter Play-offs. I doubt they will go for a draw, they will surley want a win here and as they are currently "hot" team i think they will get it. Since Christmas they are in great form, having won 10 games, and lost only five, all against strong opponents (twice against Herning, twice against SonderjyskE and once against AaB). Not a bad result for last team in Play-off.

To tell the truth AaB will be tough opponent, they don't have enough quality to fight with them on long term, but in one game they can win surely. This season they have one of the worst H2Hs against them, losing all games, but i don't think it will be the same today. AaB had great start of the season, then they made great result on international field as well, playing in SuperFinals of ECC in Riga, that brought them only troubles as their schedule was packed and since beginning of February they are performing awful. They've lost three of five, winning only against unmotivated Nordsjelland at home (3:1) and in last round against worst team in league Herning (3:2). Not the best results made effect on the team atmosphere as well and that brought to a fight between assistent coach Akesson and player Brad Rooney which resulted in Akesson resignation.

So, we have very motivated hosts, in good form, playing literally match of the season. Everything they've fought for depends on outcome of todays match. AaB isn't in their "gold period" and they will certainly have problems today, especially as they are lousy away (W7-D5-L9 61:69) and atmmosphere in team isn't the greatest. Esbjerg already showed their "heart" catching on Fredrikshavn that had more then 15 points difference, also in last match they managed to turnover 3:5 in the end of 2nd period (0:2 in the end of first) to final 7:5 win against their direct rivals Totempo. Esbjerg will play with full power and even AaB will have hard time, especially in this circumstances. For those less brave i recommend ML bet, but i already took 1X2 type of bet (but @2.40)...

Pick : Esbjerg
Odds : 2.25
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet-at-home
Date : 2008-02-22
Match Result : 2-4
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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