Well, IMO this handicap is just too big. I don't see a reason why Krim should go over 25 spread at all. There is no need to do it. They have first position and no need to push themsleves. They'll have much more important games in next weeks. Let's take a look at their hoem games this year:

KRIM MERCATOR : RK ZAGORJE ISTRABENZ GORENJE 55:15 +40

KRIM MERCATOR : ŽRK MERCATOR TENZOR PTUJ 37:29 +8

KRIM MERCATOR : RK KOÈEVJE EVRO CASINO 37:19 +18

KRIM MERCATOR : RK CELEIA ŽALEC 41:21 +20

KRIM MERCATOR: ŽRK BREŽICE 38:18 +20

KRIM MERCATOR : ŽRK IZOLA 64:19 +45

KRIM MERCATOR : RK OLIMPIJA PLK 47:29 +18

So only 2 games went over this handicap, one against bottom team Izola and oter against Zagoreje, but Zagorje from start of league, when they were stil without team like now. On other side, Burja is bottom team too, true, but they showed a lot of improvement. After they bought 3-4 new players in january, their spreads in away games were like this:

ŽRK IZOLA - RK BURJA ŠKOFIJE 25 : 27

RK ZAGORJE ISTRABENZ - RK BURJA ŠKOFIJE 30 : 21

RK OLIMPIJA PLK - RK BURJA ŠKOFIJE 44 : 29

RK EVRO CASINO KOÈEVJE - RK BURJA ŠKOFIJE 35 : 21

Ok, two bottom teams, but Olimpija and Kocevje are midtable solid teams. But still, 11 and 14 points, so stil 10 goals in hand. And if we have in mind, that Burja can score more than 20 goals, and if total margine is set to 65, around 42-25 should be result what I expect here.

Pick : away +24,5
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-02-22
Match Result : 51-19
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