I don't understand one thing: Why Barca have to be -0.5 against Celtic, and Sevilla only pk when they play Fenerbahce? As far as my point of view is concerned, I do not see a major difference between Celtic playing at home, and then Fener playing at home. And as I don't rate Barca much better than Sevilla, I strongly think it's more or less +0.25:-0.25 match.

That Fenerbahce have won all their home games in group, and conceded one goal only, it's a decisive fact that favours somehow the home side. And they did play great I don't deny. The difference though, is that now they'll play a knock-out game. Having said that, it's the first time in history when the Turks go so high, and the pressure has to be a negative factor in this case. When you do it year by year, it's easier. Well when you're so much into for the first time, I really believe it shall affect them. And Sevilla are the perfect opponent to cash in our bet. Play agressive, know to move with the ball, and are deadly on counters. Espanyol have been beaten by their own weapon (counters) in the last Primera round, and the Sevillians were the authors. Now I don't expect them to dominate and make their usual play in Turkey, I actually see them defending and waiting for their chances on counters that have to come. The Turks have to press, it's their ground, and they will. Though I suspect they are going to make it at the back somehow, and Fabiano and Kanoute know their job too well to miss it.



Pick : AWAY
Odds : 1.99
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-02-20
Match Result : 3-2
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.brainbetting.com

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