Third match of QuarterFinals, Salzburg leads 2:0 (5:4OT, 4:1)

Probably the last match in serie. Title defender Salzburg will host last seasons main rivals and finalists VSV Villach. Neither of this two had good season, in fact they were one of the worst surprises of the league. And while Salzburg managed to stay on their feet, even improve their position and performances, Villach almost ended in bottom mini-league (they stayed cause of draw with KAC). Maybe that mini-league would have good effect on them (as it had on Olimpija) because in that "league of 6" they were mainly losing. Moral and atmosphere in club isn't bright and i think they are ending their season. Coach Greg Holst is going to leave "at the end of season", same as few players, seems like end of season is very near.

Salzburg didn't had season as expected, but recovered from disasterous start. There were various reasons for bad performances, from many injuries, to lack of chemistry between players, to various ins and outs in transfer period. Also packed schedule and bad preparation period were affecting their performances. Still, they are now with one leg in SemiFinals, they are ready to kick out Villach and i think they are going to do that in big style. They are traditionally strong at home, last season untouchable, this season only Vienna was better then them, but overall impression is that they are very strong at home. Villach didn't won in Salzburg for 691 day, i think they already have complexes and i don't believe they will stop that bad streak in this really bad situation. Salzburg usually beats them, and beats them high. In last season Finals, Salzburg took serie 4:1, winning all four games with two or more goals difference. Meetings this season also suggest handicap here:

008-02-17 Villach SV 1-4 Salzburg

2008-02-14 Salzburg 4-4, 5-4OT Villach SV

2008-02-01 Villach SV 7-5 Salzburg

2008-01-13 Salzburg 2-1 Villach SV

2007-12-28 Salzburg 4-2 Villach SV

2007-11-16 Villach SV 3-5 Salzburg

2007-11-09 Villach SV 4-3 Salzburg

2007-09-20 Salzburg 5-1 Villach SV

I expect Salzburg domination to continue, they have home advantage, better quality, Villach has reached what they could and i think Salzburg will celebrate today with easy win...

Pick : Salzburg
Odds : 2.10
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Paddy Power
Date : 2008-02-19
Match Result : 0-3
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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