Moya has played four threesetters in this tournament so far. On the clay and Moya not young anymore must make him feel something. Almagro also has four matches what makes it even but much shorter matches, I think the tirednessfactor is a bit overreacted in this match. Moya should match-up against Almagro. Their meetings are 2-1 for Moya but their recent meeting at Båstad on the clay ended 2-1 for Almagro. Almagro was playing his best tennis in that tournament until the final where he became more than frustrated against Ferrer. Moya’s game should have the potential to do the same because Almagro isn’t a player who is able to keep always his form on and when losing the grip he loses it. Now he looks confident though. Last year Moya’s servicegame was pretty bad I think because he made nine doublefaults in their match. This week even Moya has played long matches his firstserve% has been high and that should make things more equal Almagro being the favourite.

Pick : Carlos Moya
Odds : 2.67
Stake : 2 / 10
Bookmaker : Expekt
Match Result : Almagro 2-0
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