Important match here in the EPL.Both teams have something important to play for.While Chelsea is hoping to get a win , so they don't lose contact with the other title contenders (Man. Utd. and Arsenal ), Liverpool is hoping to get a win, so they don't lose contact with the spot that assures them a Champions League presence next season.

The game is played at London, so Chelsea have the home side advantage here.

Recent history shows us that most matches between the two teams have been tight matches and a lot of them finished with a draw.Even the first match between the two , this season finished with a 1-1 draw result.

The reason why most matches between the two a tight is because of the fact that the match is considered a derby and so the pressure in on, and also both teams are very well organized on the pitch and the errors do not appear that often.

If we would place a bet on this match and we would take in consideration only the statistics, than our bet would be on a Chelsea win.Why?Because Chelsea have one of the best home records, while Liverpool have been just awful this season in most away matches.They even had problems in the away matches with the teams from the bottom of the tables.

Chelsea along with Arsenal and Man. Utd. are the only teams that are yet to lose a match this season on home ground.8-4-0 is Chelsea's home record with 23 goals scored and 8 received.Now let's take a look at Liverpool's away record.6-4-2 with 14 goals scored and 8 received.Such an away record is to be found more likely at a mediocre team and not one from the "top 4".

But while statistics are important, i believe that they don't always tell the truth.First of all Chelsea will be out of some important players.Lampard, Kalou, Essien and Drogba will all the absent for the London side.Some people told me that they have been missing for some time now and the team got used with their absences.This to me is not true.These players have been missing for some time now, it is true, but let's not forget that this is a derby and these are the kind of matches in which the absence of the mentioned players will be felt the most.

Liverpool is not confronted with squad problems.But as i said, they do have to play away from home and they have yet to impress in away matches.

As most derby matches are, it will be a tight one and i was going to go with a straight draw but then i decided to go with safer bet and take Liverpool with an asian handicap of 0.5.The 1.95 odd that BET 365 has to offer seem to be a fair one and i already took it, only with a small stake.

We should be in for a great match, hope it is a profitable one too.

Pick : away win
Odds : 1.95
Stake : 3 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365
Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.smart-betting.com