Sodertalje is my favorite team for betting on unders this season and today they will have very important match. There is only place for eight teams in Play-off, end of regular season is still far, but Frolunda on 7th place is on 52 pts, while eight SAIK has 43 pts. Quite a difference, but it isn't so on the bottom. Sodertalje is just a point behind SAIK, while last Mora is only four points behind them. So, we have five teams in space of four points, every point is important, especially against direct concurents.

Statistically both teams are "under" teams, but i have more faith in Sodertalje which always plays to concede as less as they can. They still have best defense in the league, no matter that they were dead last in last few months. For this match they will welcome back first goalie Enroth (92,48% SVS, 2.26GAA) after injury, SAIK will welcome back Larsson (0g+1a) and Oberg (3g+12a), but will miss Kristoffersson (1g+7a) and Renberg (9g+11a) which seem to be more important as Rengberg is 3rd best scorer. As a conclusion to this team news, i think that SAIK could have problems in front, but in defense it should all be the same as till now, they average don't allow more then two goals.

Tradition is another important factor and reason why i favor under. Since 2001 this teams met nine times in Eliteserien, three times there were exactly five goals, six times it was heavy under. No overs at all!! Their HTH this season looks like this:

2007-11-29 Sodertalje 0-1 SAIK

2007-10-25 SAIK 1-1 Sodertalje

2007-10-16 Sodertalje 1-1 SAIK

As you can see, all heavy unders, equal games... Neither of this two doesn't want to concede too much. SAIK lately had few overs, but they made some experiments with team, in last match in eg. their goalie was backup Dahlberg, while in this match Hadelov should return between the bars. Sodertalje has almost best team to choose from, winner gets eight place, i just can't see too open match and i expect another under in this streak.

Pick : under 5
Odds : 1.92
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-01-08
Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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