Call me crazy, but i didn't played on Amur twice when i wanted to, maybe it's too late now, but i'm eager to try.

First thing, we're talking about Russia here, if somewhere in hockey teams cooperate then it's in Russia. Second, we have really weird H2H, Amur was never better then bottom four teams, but they have won more points against Ufa then Ufa against them.

Even in their first meeting this season i wanted to play on Amur, but i rather skipped it. It was weird H2H, long trip to the far east of Russia, long wining streak of Ufa, and losing streak for Amur, it had to stop sometimes because of "law of large numbers". But i didn't played it at the end. Too bad as Amur won 2:1.

In their second match, i thought "they won't repeat it". Now Ufa is home team, Amur in the meantime had some decent results and bounced from the bottom so i again decided to skip it. Well, now it's maybe too late, but i won't repeat same mistake three times. I'll play it with small stake and i won't be sorry even if Amur gets blown up from ice. Ufa traditionally had "tough" games with Amur, be there cooperation or not. Also there is question about motivation as Salavat has already secured first place, while Amur is on the rock bottom, but still can enter Play-off race, or at least get over relegation line.

Odds are high as expected, stake small, but i just can't jump over it again. I also thought about handicap which is pretty reasonable as Ufa could be tired after Spengler Cup (five games in six days), their motivation could be low, while this is "last train" for Amur. Especially as Amur isn't team to make goal difference on anymore. But, i decided to go with ML bet at the end, if Amur wants to achive something they have to win, not make decent loses. History shows that Amur is profitable bet against Ufa, why not give it a go?

Pick : Amur DNB
Odds : 7.40
Stake : 2 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Date : 2008-01-05
Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://scythe.blogabet.com/

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