You gotta be kidding me. These odds on an Ahly win in the Egyptian league should only be granted against Ismaili in Ismailia or against Zamalek. These odds are simply TOO much and I'll definitely take it before probably going massively down.

For those who don't know, Ahly in Egypt is something like Lyon in France. They have won the Egyptian league since its inception more than all other teams collectively. Additionally, they have won the last three consecutive titles. On the other hand, ElGeish, an Arabic translation for the word Army, is currently in the second spot and that's why probably they are overrated.

Anyways, here are my reasons for this pick:

First, these is no home advantage here. ElGeish has no supporters of their own except for some army soldiers that are paid to go support the team in their league matches. Additionally, army stadium is in Cairo and thus Ahly supporters will go to the stadium and support their team. So, the advantage is actually in favor of the reds.

Second, Army are currently down sloping. They started their season very well, but lately they have struggled to get the points needed. Only 1 point from their last two league matches and another 1 point from their two matches in the group stage of the Arab Champions League. They seem to be a little bit tired of too many matches in a very short period.

Finally, it's definitely experience. Ahly has a bunch of players playing regularly in the Egyptian National Team. On the other hand, most of ElGeish players are ex-Ahly and ex-Zamalek players.

Verdict: The fair price here should never exceed 1.40 for Ahly's win and I'd still take it with full stakes. Imagine what I'd do with this huge price. I'd put my mortgage on it

Good Luck

Pick : Ahly
Odds : 2.19
Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker : 10bet
Date : 2007-12-14
Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:

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