NHL - New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators Hockey betting preview

29 November 2007
Tipster From Serbia TonyClifton from Serbia writes on Hockey Betting Preview Hockey USA NHL
New York Islanders vs Ottawa Senators
do you believe that best team in league can have 3 loses in a row? I don't! reason for this loses was probably because Alfredson was injured in last couple of days. He had a groin injury, and be back tonight.

I watched NYI couple of times this season. they are solid team, usually play under, I think they have trouble in scoring goals. they could enter playoffs this season, but they will have to wait for their chance against some other teams.

teams didn't played this season. but in last seasons H2H Ottawa cleaned them up. all 4 wins, and last 8 also won by Senators. none was in OT or SO

Betting Pick Pick : Ottawa ML
Odds Odds : 1.68
Stake Stake : 10 / 10
Bookmaker Bookmaker : Betsson
Result Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://tonyclifton.blogabet.com/

Tip Viewed 556 times. Posted on 00:00:00 GMT+2 Wednesday 28 November

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Tip Comments

Comments to date: 7. Page 1 of 1.

Laser Envy   England

12:33am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

In the words of the late great Bon Scott of AC/DC, "I can hear those fingers PICKIN - and this is what they have to say!" "Let there be Rock!!!!" Great write-up TonyClifton! All sounds good to me - GL everyone.

Anders   Copenhagen

2:31am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

I have been reading a couple of tips inhere and there is something that I think many of you complete overlooks. That is the odds vs. the stake.
You have to compare the odds with the winning percentage. A lot of you guys just rate the stake 10, and come up with some explanation of why. But i my opinion thats not the right way to "rate" odds and matches.
Why do you for instance rate this ottawa victory a 10?? Which percentage do you have on this game? For example "30 - 20 - 50" on home victory, draw or road victory.
Since you rate an Ottawa vic. stake 10 you must clearly mean that Ottawa will win a lot more than 68% of the time vs. Islanders. But I just dont see that happening...

But in general I think that you HAVE to rate the stake according to the odds. Else it makes no sense at all betting on the game.

TonyClifton   Serbia

2:57am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

Anders, I don't get what are you trying to say? this is ML pick, that means that overtime is included. so there is no draw. Of course I expect Ottawa to win, I wrote a preview, and explained why.

@ Laser Envy
It looks u are my biggest fan :D
btw, I'm also big AC/DC fan

TonyClifton   Serbia

4:59am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

f***ing Rick DiPietro with 40 saves! Ottawa lost in penalty shootout! this is bad for the heart!

Anders   copenhagen

5:21am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

What I was saying is that you dont compare the odds to your stake at all. You just say that u think OT will win and u put stake 10 on it. But in my opinion you HAVE to compare odds with stake. This meaning that I dont think odds 1,68 on OT victory is a stake 10 bet. For me, a bet that gets rated stake 10 has a LARGE overlay in percentage and clearly OT didnt have that.

Explain to me why you rated it 10 and not just 4 or 5??? Do you rate all your bets 10???

Anders   Copenhagen

5:24am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

And especially now when OT is in a bad streak, I cannot see how you can rate this 10....totally mix rated in my opinion. (easier for me to say when they lost of course)
But the odds has to justify the stake, else it makes no sense at all to stake the bets does it?

Anders   Copenhagen

5:30am on Thursday, November 29th, 2007

Just to back up my theory, I just looked at your monthly tips, and you have 18 bets and 140 stake. Thats almost an avg of 8.
In my opinion you stake your bets after your believes and not the odds. And I dont think thats the way to do it.

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