An early pick here, but I don't think this odds will stand untill sunday. Both Raufoss and Notodden was promoted last year and have been facing a though season to survive in Adeccoligaen.

Total:

13. Raufoss 15 4 2 9 18 : 37 14

12. Notodden 15 5 2 8 18 : 19 17

Form:

14. Raufoss 6 1 0 5 6 : 20 3

8. Notodden 6 3 0 3 10 : 7 9

Home/Away:

15. Raufoss 7 1 1 5 7 : 14 4

16. Notodden 7 0 1 6 4 : 13 1

Raufoss started the season good but haven't been playing topp lately. Only 2 win during their last 10 games and have lost the 5 last home games. 3 of the 5 losses have been with 2 or more goals. They are currently in 13th place which means relegation and have 3 points up to Notodden on safe ground.

Notodden are playing very good soccer at home, but haven't been able to bring this to their road games. They have had alot of though away games, both against good teams and teams far away. It's kind of strange, they have won their 4 last home games, but lost their 6 last away games. Notodden have a high budget for an Adeccoliga team, and have a goal to establish them self as a good Adeccoliga team and even try to get to Tippeligaen.

This is a game between a poor home team vs a poor away team. Taken in mind the form of the team I would hold this as a pretty even matchup. If I would dare to set % it would be about 38-26-36. With these % I would assume HC-1 on Notodden would be about 17-18%. The only bookies I have found with odds HC for Notodden is Bet365 and Betsson. Bet 365 have 5,50, which is about 18 % probability. Betsson offers at this time 6,65!!!, which I see nice value in.

I will try 5/10 on Notodden -1 3way HC, odds 6,65 @ Betsson

JPH

Pick : Notodden -1
Odds : 6.65
Stake : 4 / 10
Bookmaker : Betsson
Match Result :
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