Jaguares Chiapas - CD Guadalajara Football betting preview

Tipster From Mexico Xcout from Mexico writes on Football Betting Preview Football Mexico Mexico Apertura
  Asian Handicap Line 1/4 : 0
Jaguares Chiapas vs CD Guadalajara
Stadium: Victor M. Reyna

Referee: Gabriel Gomez

Serie: 11GP - 5 Wins for Jaguares Chiapas - 3 Draws - 3 Wins for Chivas Guadalajara

Last two matches have been victory of Chivas, one of those in Chiapas.

Jaguares Chiapas

Last match the team lost 2-0 to Monterrey on Monterrey city, the team receive two goals of Monterrey MF Leandro Gracian, one of the was olympic goal in which GK Omar Ortiz contribute as didn't send a player to cover that part of the net. With this result the team is eliminated from the tournament and now is just battling for their striker FW Javier Campora to reach scorer leader Chivas FW Omar Bravo, which is just one goal away from him. Even they face Chivas on this match. The defeat was the worst news as puts apart jaguares from playoffs, and was added with expulsion of DF José de Jesús Gutiérrez.

The change of coach to Victor Manuel Vucetich seems to be a good decisión up to round 10, but since that round the team has been unable to win, even collecting two defeats. The team has a streak of five matches without victory. And has been getting worse, as in home last two matches the team has been unable to won, still has been able to take draws against Santos and Cruz Azul, in both matches the team had the advantage but lost it.

Fourth worst offensive with 15 goals in 16 matches for an average under 1 per match. With high dependance of FW Javier Campora which has 10 of those goals to be runner up in the best scorer race, one goal behind Chivas FW Omar Bravo. The team have score just three goals in last five matches, being stopped to three clean sheets.

Their defense is the second worst with 26 goas allowed in 16 games for an average of 1.63 goas allowed per match. The defense have been getting worse, as in last five matches the team has allowed 8 goals, just collecting one clean sheet in the first of this five matches.

In home the team is fair, still since coach Victor Manuel Vucetich take charge of six matches on home the team have taken barely two victories, two draws and two defeats, being unable to be consistant on home. The defense in home haven't work as in seven of the eight matches have allowed goal from the rival. But despite that carries a streak of three matches unbeaten at home.

Suspended:

DF José de Jesus Gutierrez.

Chivas Guadalajara

Last match take the worst team of the league Veracruz and with an easy peformance Chivas take the victory by 4-0, where FW Omar Bravo score the first two goals to take the lead in the scorers table with 11 goals. In the first half just one came fall and Veracruz seems to hold the attacks of Chivas. But in the second part FW Omar Bravo scored his second goal and near the end youth MF Xavier Baez take a pass from FW Omar Bravo to scored the third. The fourth was a long distance shoot of FW Adolfo Bautista that get to be unreachable for Veracruz GK Jorge Bernal. With this result the team climbs to the second place general and first place of the group one.

With this victory the team reaches a streak of three matches winning, remakrs that in those three the team has collect clean sheets showing solid defending. But those three victories came on home, even that on derby against Atlas was administrative away. The team away have been performing better than in home, still last performance has level the things between home and away, as have more or less same numbers on home than away. Which translates to good defending and fair attacking. Highlights that in their last three matches away, which in practice are just two matches away (as derby against Atlas is played on Jalisco stadium) the team have collect two consecutive defeats against teams that focus defensive over attack as are America and San Luis, which brings some doubts to the team, still shadow by their last good run in april.

The team offensive is the third best with 27 goals out of 16 games, has the leader of the goal scorer table of the tournament in FW Omar Bravo with 11 goals , and after this round remains there will claim best scorer title. Getting the title of best scorer for a Chivas player will end 45 years without it. In last five matches the team has scored 9 goals for an average of 1.8 goals per match. From those five in three matches scored two or more goals.

Defensive speaking the team is the third best defense with 13 goals allowed in last 16 matches for an average of 0.82 goals per match. The team defend better on first than on second parts. In last three matches the team has collect just cleansheets, for a total of six cleansheets in the whole tournament. The defense is improving as has been seen in the last five matches where they barely allowed two goals.

In midweek the team played the second leg of CONCACAF Champions Cup against Pachuca, intense match with some scoring chances for both teams that end tie 0-0, in aggregated score 2-2 and extratime had to be played, there Chivas was able to score but it was on offside position. The teams have to go to penalty kicks to decide the winner. In the penalty serie both teams showed a lot of accuracy as it was until the second round of sudden death that FW Alberto Medina miss as he send his shoot to the post. Then Pachuca FW Luis Angel Landín score the winning penalty for Pachuca. Altought the animic downsize for lossing the final Chivas Guadalajara was awarded a place in next Sudamericana Cup as runners up for this title.

This is their last match of the month, a very high intense month where the team played up to eight matches (counting this one), almost one match every 3 - 4 days. The team is unbeaten in the seven matches the team has played, still lost on penalties against Pachuca but on regular time end unbeaten. Against the team will act the fatigue of playing so many matches with few resting period between them, as gold will feel the next week after this match where the team finally will not face a match in midweek and neither next weekend. But first the team has to fullfield this compromise and could be expected some players will get some rest.

As an added plus the team is the best discipline team with no red cards. The team have secured their direct participacion on playoffs and will not loss the first place of the group. Cruz Azul could tie it on points but the goal average is on Chivas favor.

Injured:

DF Jose Antonio Olvera (long term)

Match:

Lately on away Chivas have sufferd, still Jaguares will not laid back on home as San Luis and America does, so I expect a more open game with Jaguares looking to score with FW Campora and Chivas doing the same for FW Omar Bravo.

Prediction:

Jaguares would look to close the season with a good result, still they face a team that is one of the best of the tournament and hardly concede defeats. The only downsize for Chivas is the long match they have on the midweek that went to extratimes. But still the team has a long squad that could take the place of the main players as youth players have showed good things. I expect a tight match with value on Chivas Guadalajara -1/4AH

Betting Pick Pick : CD Guadalajara
Odds Odds : 1.96
Stake Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker Bookmaker : Bet365
Date Date : 2007-04-28
Result Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:

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