Stadium: Tres de Marzo

Referee: Germán Valentín Arredondo Ramirez

Serie: 29GP - 10 Wins for Tecos UAG - 6 Draws - 13 Wins for Morelia

Last three matches have been under 2.5 goals and last two hve been Morelia victory. In Tres de Marzo stadium Tecos have four consecutive victories against Morelia.

Tecos UAG

The team went to encountered America in Azteca Stadium, the team propose a offensive display that in conjuction with America attacking provide a game with a lot of scoring chances and very dinamic, which provoke goals in both sides, first was America by DF Ismael Rodriguez, but 30 minutes later came Tecos UAG goal MF Nelson Alejandro Pinto who take a ball that was left wandering on America area to claim the draw on the scoreline. For the second half the home team came with a more passive actitude and defensively relaying on counterattacking, what deliver Tecos UAG to be attacking and when ball was with America the speed slow almost to have the ball stopped, but in a counterattack Tecos allowed a goal of america MF Alvin Mendoza, Tecos make their best effort to get back on the track, even hit the bar with a free kick, but America good defense hold Tecos UAG good scoring machine. The bad news for the team was the late expulsion of DF Diego Colotto which is key on the team defense.

The defeat broke a long streak of four consecutive matches with 2-2 draws, even in last match it was near to repeat a 2-2 draw, but the bar of the net didin't allowed it. Also above that streak broke a streak of six matches unbeaten. Good step has the team posses in the tournament as they have allowed few defeats and have the team with qualification possibilities, but above that the team accomplished to avoid relegation which has make the team played with less pressure.

Bow the team went back to home, where they have showed their best performance as they have just allowed on defeat which was against the best team of the competition Pachuca. One key player for the team good performance is MF Rodrigo "Pony" Ruiz which is constant threat for the rival team and generates many scoring chances and put goal passes, but also the incorporation of FW Emmanuel Ludueña and MF Hernan Encina have help the team good tournament. The team will modify their formation from a 4-4-2, to a 5-3-2, and altought the coach didn't reveal why was the change, the truth can be seen that the defense haven't been holding and is the point that has bring the team to now winning in some matches in last rounds.

Suspended:

DF Diego Colotto

Morelia

Last match the team received Pumas, which gets to laid back on Morelos Stadium as the team does most of the time, Morelia gets back to the stadium where they have get their best resulst in the tournament. Pumas controlled most of the match with the ball in their domination, and it was DF Marco Antonio "Pikolin" Palacios who return to last season stage where his mistakes cost points to the team. As in the begging of the first half, one defensive mistake of him provoke the first goal as Morelia FW Luis Gabriel Rey score the opener. In second half another mistake of himself gave the chance to Morelia MF Tiago Mathis to score a corner pass, which was slightly deflected by DF "Pikolin" to get the ball inside his own net.

But Pumas had effort to answered back as FW Ismael Iniguez scored for Pumas. The victory helps the team to claim third position of group two with 19 points and get three points near of second place Tigres UANL for a spot that grants a place on playoffs, as in third or four place would make the team depend on their position on the overall table to see if they can aspire to reclasification match. Tigres lost yesterday and this gave the team a chance to tie them in points and face with more posibilities for direct qualification in their last match against America.

Morelia is a team that has been irregular, just the two first matches the team has been able to claim consecutives victories, and since them the only streaks the team have been able to obtain are negative as has two streaks of three consecutive matches with defeats. Just this victory helps to break the last of those. And it has been the lack of performance in home in the previos two matches what has the team in that position, as the team has been a constant contrast, with good matches in home, and really bad performance away, as their only away victory is from round two of this season.

The team is the sixth best offensive of the tournament with 21 goals in 15 matches. Also confirm this with 10 matches with over 2.5 goals scorelines. The key this is that this match will be played on away, where the team has a lack of peformance and since their first victory on away the team have claim just defeats, allowing at least two goals per match away.

Match:

Tecos plays better on home than away, the same that happens with Morelia, so I expect a Tecos team with more offensive display as Morelia will be defending but also will not forget to attack as they team is very dinamic.

Prediction:

Tecos UAG on home are one of the best and hardly concede a defeat, opposite of what Morelia does on away. Even just becuase numbers suggest it and I see a strong Tecos UAG.

Pick : Tecos UA de Guadalajara
Odds : 2.05
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : Bet365
Date : 2007-04-22
Match Result :
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