Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Indians
Team matchup: Miami Marlins are playing great baseball. In last 13 games they lost only 4 times, but still I think they can not be favorite here. Cleveland Indians are tough team to beat this year. They are on the first place in AL Central with record 22-17. Their only problem is that they play better on the road, but I believe they will play better at home sooner or later. In last 5 game Cleveland lost only once and that was yesterday against Miami. Cleveland scores 4.6 runs/game and they are better against righties with 4.8 runs/game. On other side Miami Marlins scores only 3.8 runs/game. In last 7 games they are better with 4.7 runs/game, but their production against righties is not so good. They score 3.7 runs/game against righties. The biggest reason is that they have strong right lineup. And when you have strong right lineup, you may be struggling sometimes against right pitchers. They were shut down against right pitcher Beachy two days ago.
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Pitching matchup: Gomez will pitch for Cleveland Indians and he is very solid this year with ERA 3.75. He is coming of a good start in his last game. He pitched 7 innings against Minnesota and he allowed only 1 run. On other side Sanchez is very good this season, little surprise for me. ERA 2.28 to the season. However, in last two games he allowed 5 runs and in last game he allowed 3 runs. That was against Pittsburgh, one of the worst offensive teams in baseball. Now he will have to face Cleveland, who is way better.
Reason for pick: Cleveland is 18-8 against right handed pitchers this season. If you bet on Cleveland every time when they faced right handed pitcher with 1 unit/pick, you would be +11.2 units. On other side as I said Miami has strong right lineup and they struggle sometimes against righties and Gomez is solid right pitcher. If you bet on Miami with 1 unit/pick against right handed pitchers you would be -2,8 units this season. After yesterday loss by Cleveland I think Indians will step up again and will try to win this game at home.
Bet: Cleveland Indians Win @2.02 with Pinnacle Sports