Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox
Team matchup: Boston Red Sox are hot, and when they are hot, they win games, score a lot and are one of the best baseball teams. Last season, they were the worst team until 15 April. After 15 they were the best team in MLB. It looks like same story here. Boston scores 5.9 runs/game in last 7 with avg 0.320. In last 5 games, the story is even better, they score 8.6 runs/game. They hit lefties, righties, no matter who is on the mound they will do damage right now. On other side Chicago White Sox started this season pretty good. Honestly I didn’t expect such a start, but they are now respectable 10-9 to the season. But they are starting to show their weaknesses in last games. They lost three games in a row, where they scored 2.3 runs/game.
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Pitching matchup: Bard will start for Red Sox and he is 1-2 to the season with ERA 4.38, but what I like here is his last game against Tampa. He allowed only one run, he allowed 4 hits. The only concern is his BB:K ratio. Chicago White Sox is 18th in BB and they are under the average in plate discipline, especially Dunn, their slugger, who has the most strikeouts in last years. I think he can hold this struggling White Sox team at minimum. The second think I like here is that he will have huge run support. And this will give him huge confidence. On other side Danks. His ERA to the season is 5.11. In last game in Seattle he allowed 4 runs.
Key trends: White Sox are 1-6 in Danks’ last 7 starts vs. American League East. White Sox are 2-15 in Danks’ last 17 Friday starts. Road team is 4-0 in Marquezs last 4 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
Reason for pick: Boston is red hot, they score 8.6 runs/game in last games. On other side totally different story with White Sox, who are in losing streak and they score only 2.3 runs/game in this losing streak. Boston won yesterday against Humber, who had no hitter in previous start. Boston is money right now! I am taking run line, because Boston scores “too much” and they can outscore anyone right now.
Bet: Boston Red Sox -1,5 @2.45 with Pinnacle Sports