The team plays very good at Friuli this season and is the 2nd best home team in the league with only 1 loss against Milan. Udinese will miss striker Floro Flores, but he has only 3 goals in Italy this campaign and is not a huge blow. Not the same can be said about Basta, who is a first team regular defender and scored 5.
On the other side, Inter will be without Sneijder and Maicon, who are the team's best players. The team started collecting points, after a very bad period in January/February, but the team continues to struggle away from home. Very poor stats for the visitors, who have won only once in the last 9 games in all competitions. Also, Inter have scored only 16 goals in 17 games on the road.
I believe Udinese can make a step towards CL places here. Of course, a bit risky but 2.50 is good value here.