Djokovic vs Dolgopolov

ATP Monte Carlo, Monaco 3rd round

 

Surface - Clay court

 

Novak Djokovic (SER) - Alexandr Dolgopolov (Ukraine)

 

(1) ranking (21)

 

12670 points 1495

 

(1) previous meetings (0)

 

Well, the most what I like about this match is this too low set games line. Novak Djokovic is current best world player and almost sure winner of this match, but 16.5 games is simply ridiculous. IMO there is no way that this should be match for 16.5 games line, at least 17.5, maybe even 18 is what would be much more realistic.

 

So, I see great chance for betting on over in this match. Dolgopolov is very solid player, 21st on ATP and clay court is his favourite surface. In previous two rounds he deal easily with Tomic and Chela. Note that in only head to head with Djokovic (US Open 2011) Dolgopolov lost 3-0 but he was very good back than. I remember very well, he missed many chances to win first set and lost it at the end in tie-break.

 

Also note that for Djokovic this is only second match on clay in 2012. The first one was in previous round against Seppi. Even Seppi managed to win 5 games against Novak, so I really don't see reason why Dolgopolov would not have done the same. Note that odds are taken from 188bet.