Shamrock vs Bohemians

Looking at the positions these two teams hold in the league could lead one to believe that this should be a fairly straightforward home win. However these positions can be misleading when not matched with other statistics, mainly the fact that although Shamrock Rovers are top of the table and Bohemians are in sixth position, there is only 3 points between the two clubs.

A 3 points difference is nothing major and therefore this should not be used as a basis for placing a wager on this match. Look instead to the fact both teams are playing where they have their best records - Shamrock are at home (5wins, 1loss) and Bohemians are away (5wins, 2draws, 0losses). Both sides have an impressive goal difference, Bohemians notably have also only conceded twice away from home in seven matches this season.

The statistics therefore tell us this should be a close match and the fact that the bookmakers have put Shamrock in as massive favourites allows us to take advantage of some value odds.

A particularly notable market is the 'Double Chance' market, where one can select two outcomes (we are taking a Bohemians win and a draw) and if either occurs then the bet is a winner. Bohemians OR a draw is available with Stan James at 2.15, so have a medium stake on this (6pts) which we will back up with some small correct score bets.

Again the fact that Shamrock are such heavy favourites provides us with some value in the Correct Score market when opposing them. Have very small wagers on tight Bohemians wins (1-0, 2-1) and a small bet on the 1-1 draw.

A comforting fact should be that if this staking plan were applied to every one of Bohemians' away matches in the League already this season we would have made profit from every game.

Shamrock are a good side at home but they should not be such heavy favourites against unbeaten-travellers Bohemians who managed a win against second place Sligo earlier in the season.

Staking Plan:

Bohemians OR Draw Result Double Chance

6pts @ 2.15 Stan James

1-1 Correct Score

1pt @ 7.5 William Hill

1-0 Bohemians

0.5pts @ 11.0 William Hill

2-1 Bohemians

0.5pts @ 19.0 William Hill