Horse Racing Betting - Race 5 vs Race Winner Preview

Horse Racing - Race 5 v Race Winner

This is a Class 4 handicap hurdle for Conditional Jockeys, run over 2 1/2 miles.

Now the first thing that needs to be said, is that these conditional jockeys events aren't usually the most obvious starting point when looking for decent betting opportunities.

However, it could just be that there's a little bit of value to be had in this race today.

Clearly when getting involved in such races, a hint of caution must always be excercised, as the majority of riders are often very inexperienced.

You certainly wouldn't want to be taking a short price about anything in such a race, as quite often, the best horse doesn't always win.

The horse I have backed today is number 10 DUNBRODY HOUSE.

This horse is trained in Pembrokeshire by Peter Bowen.

Dunbrody House is still a lightly raced horse, having had just the 7 starts over jumps, so is clearly still open to some improvement.

He kicked off his career in Bumpers last year, showing some reasonable form, particularly when finishing 2nd to the highly thought of Pipe horse Dan Breen at Newton Abbot.

It took him a few runs to get the hang of things over hurdles, but eventually got off the mark at the 4th time of asking.

That came here at Carlisle over course and distance.

The ground that day was on the quick side.That being the case, you can probably excuse his 3 poor subsequent efforts, as they all came on soft ground.

Dunbrody house won here at Carlisle over course and distance from a mark of 90.

Allowing the jockeys claim, he races here today from a mark of just 87.That has him reasonably well treated here.

Conditions should be much more to his liking today, with the ground likely to be good, and drying all the time.

2 1/2 miles on decent ground here at Carlisle should pose no problems for the horse today, as they are similar conditions as for his only success.

As mentioned, the best horse doesn't always win these races, as the majority of riders are often inexperienced.

Oliver Dayman takes the ride today.

He has ridden on numerous occasions for Peter Bowen, and although only winning twice, he has a further 11 placed efforts.

That takes his overall win / place record for the yard to nearly 1/3

Another positive is the fact Peter Bowen sends this horse back here to Carlisle.

Carlisle is a long way from Pembrokeshire, and its very rare Peter Bowen will send horses all that way.

He certainly won't be sending them for the fresh air.

During the last 10 years, Peter Bowen has only sent 6 runners to Carlisle, recording 2 wins and a place.

Those figures are 2 wins and a place from just 3 runners in the last 12 months.

Trips to Carlisle are very rare for this handler, so it's safe to assume he wouldn't be sending anything he didn't think capable of going well.

The fact this horse has his only win over this course and distance under similar conditions, means it's no surprise to see him back here today.

The yard do have another runner on the card, but that comes in the Bumper, which are always difficult to call without inside knowledge.

Dunbrody house looks by far his most likely winner of the 2 runners today, with conditions looking ideal.

As mentioned, a hint of caution must always be excercised in such races, however, with plenty in his favour, Dunbrody House is worth chancing each way at a double figure price, in what is an open race.

4 points EACH WAY (8 points in total) Dunbrodhy House 4.20 Carlisle at 12.0 with Betfred 1/4 odds 1,2,3

Pick : Dunbrody House EACH WAY 4.20 Carlisle
Odds : 12.00
Stake : 8 / 10
Bookmaker : BetFred
Match Result :
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