Super League Betting - Larisa AEL vs AEK Athens Preview

Super League - Larisa AEL v AEK Athens

Draw @ 3.38 (Pinnacle) 4/10

AEK by 1 @ 3.80 (Sportingbet) 3/10

Larisa have brought dark clowds upon them and they only have themselves to blame. It is the second time they are below the relegation line this season and this is only the result of their mediocre season. However, with 6 rounds to go, they face every game as a final and this is no exception. Even recovering Venetidis is expected to be in the starting lineup and the team is focusing to stop the most effective team of second round, AEK, that has yet to lose in so many rounds. AEK has all and nothing to play for. They have no chance for the title, but that did not stop them to win Olympiakos and getting a draw out of Panathinaikos in recent away games. Their goal right now is to get as many points as they can and really give it a fight for the 2nd place in the playoffs. The main thing about them though is that they seem in a competitive shape and they are always the team up for a challenge with their undoubted individual quality. That is why they are a team that -against predictions maybe- can go to Larisa and win. Especially, now that Larisa will be on the edge and will probably take some extra risks. However, that possibility in this game is imo not the main one.

Game revolves around the draw. Larisa having next game at home vs Ergotelis with Levadeiakos hosted by Panathinaikos in this round, won't say "no" to a draw that will give them some slice of air and place them again over Levadeiakos in the standings. And judging by individual quality, that's the best they can do versus a much better opponent. Note Larisa lost both to Olympiakos and Panathinaikos this season, while AEK has not lost in last 9 rounds. Taking into account that the last time Larisa went below the line, they managed an away win at Xanthi, I expect some real fighting spirit from them, as coach Karakostas has asked them to. However, I don't expect that to bring them more than 1 point and game should balance between that probability and the AEK escaping the game, with their individual quality proving too much for the hosts. So, at odds of 3.38 for draw and 3.80 for the away win by one, we have a very good situation for a combination bet that offers a very good price for a very probable game image, so 4 units on draw and 3 more for AEK's win by one. GL!

Pick : Draw + AEK by 1
Odds : 3.80
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Match Result : 1-0
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