Premier - River Plate v Rosario Central

We have here big odds movement and i can assume why but i think its not that important that we have raise of 0.3 for home win. Before looking at odds i rated River here as a favorite to win the match. River had awful last season and i really dont expect them to fight for title this season but they can surely do better than last season. They managed to lose first match against champion Banfield at home well deserved and then to win against Chacarita away.They allowed 2 goals against them but they were playing without 2 additions of this summer Diaz and Ferrero. For this match they are able to play so i expect them to be better in defence in this match. The reason for those odds movements is the newest information that Ortega had again problems with alcohol and that Astrada coach got out him from the team so Ortega won't play today. However his replacement should be young Villalva who is very good player and can replace him very well. So i think that bookies overreacted here. Also Gallardo, important midfielder is back after injury and can play some minutes in 2nd half.

On the other side we have Central who is in big downtrend mainly because of poor transfers they made. As i said when i was betting last time against them, they lost Castillejos,Franzoia,Mendez and Choy and got only Figueroa who won't play again. Those losses affected team a lot in first 2 matches. They lost easily against Racing 3:0 and then they lost at home against Tigre 1:0 playing without idea, very bad imo. I also read from some Argentinian portals that they had problems in board so some people resigned from theit position. It says that atmosfere in team isnt best.Team is in danger zone now and i cant see that they will have better days at the moment. Only positive thing is that they will have Jony Gomez back after suspension so they will be a little bit stronger than in match against Tigre.However now with these movements i see value on home team.

Pick : River Plate (-0.5)
Odds : 1.91
Stake : 5 / 10
Bookmaker : Sbobet
Match Result : 0-0
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