NBA - Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks

Could be a good game here as the Mavs visit the Pepsi Center to face the Nuggets.

The Nuggets at 20-10 are the best home team in the league at 13-1, However The Nuggets have dropped three of their last 4 four overall and have had their Division lead over Portland trimmed to one game Friday as they lost 107-96 to the Trail Blazers. Denver have lost their last 5 road games and their play is hard to understand compared to their home form, The Nuggets are averaging 100.6 points per game on the road and have a season record of 7-9 - compared to 115.3 at the Pepsi Center while posting an NBA-best 13-1 home record…..On the other side, The Mavs 21-9 have enjoyed playing on the road, where they have only 4 losses from 14 matches. They are the polar opposite to the Nuggets with home and away form, the Mavs road form has been great and their home form shocking they are struggling to beat even some of the worst teams in the league at home, but have been great on the road, Dallas is 4-1 against the spread as road underdogs, with their only loss coming a month ago in Cleveland.

The Nuggets are 9-1 in their last 10 against the Mavs and are 8-1-1 ATS in those matches, The Nuggets have won their last 6 at home against the Mavs by an average of 7 points and have scored over 100 points in all but one of those most recent 6 matches at the Pepsi Center. Including three victories in last season’s playoff match up, the Nuggets have won seven straight at home against Dallas since an 89-85 loss Dec. 31, 2006.

Total wise and these sides have been over the set total in 6 of their last 10 matches and games between these two sides have resulted in over the set total in their past 4 clashes, In Denver and the set total has been passed in the last 2 matches played there while of the last 6 games played at the Pepsi Center 4 of those matches have resulted in over the set total.

Dallas have scored 100 points or more in 4 of their last 5 matches and have allowed 90 or more in 3 of their last 4 including in two of their last 3 allowing over 100 points, the Nuggets have scored 90 or more in their last 5 matches but have only been over 100 twice in their most recent 5 matches, they have allowed 98 or more in their last 5 matches whilst allowing over 100 in 4 of those matches.

The Nuggets have lost only one game at the Pepsi Center so far this season while the Mavs have lost only 4 times when playing away so far this season, so either side will have confidence heading into this match, both sides are capable of winning this game and doing it well and both sides will know it, The Mavs have gained their road wins with great defence and accurate shooting but tonight they face a Nuggets side that have really heated up with JR Smith and Mello both being unbelievable in their FG%, Nene is having a great season and with Billups back tonight with their loss against a short handed Blazers outfit on Christmas day still fresh in their minds , well nothing but a decent win will do here and I think they will be hell bent on doing just that, but in order to win they will have to be accurate, create a lead and keep on playing and in that respect I fancy this total to get driven high with the Nuggets trying to establish a lead while the Mavs try and stay with them, The Nuggets have their best ever Franchise start but have looked shaky while the Mavs have started the season very strongly…I think the Nuggets will roll them but whatever happens the winner isn’t what I’m looking at, I’m looking at this game to be a high scoring affair and for it to go over 208…..Good Luck.



Pick : Over 208.0
Odds : 2.00
Stake : 9 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Match Result : 96-104
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