NFL - Browns v Steelers

10 December 2009

Preview By Tipster Jumbo (New Zealand)

Edmonds – Go to the Bottom

Mike Tomlin Coach for the Steelers is contemplating wholesale changes to his secondary for this Match… I can smell some points.

Brady Quinn is showing some promise and should get some joy against a Steelers secondary likely to be changed a bit, Since the first game between these two sides the Browns have a few changes to them, with Quinn at QB not Anderson However Quinn in his career has never taken a snap against the Steelers. Two of Quinn’s past three starts have been solid, Quinn threw for 304 yards and four touchdowns in Cleveland's last-second 38-37 loss at Detroit on Nov. 22, then had 271 yards and 3 TDs Sunday in a 30-23 defeat to San Diego. He also hasn't thrown an interception in his past three games .But with Quinn finally looking good the Browns, their defence needs to improve for them to take any sort of advantage out of that, The Browns rank last in total defense allowing 400ypg , and the 543 yards the Steelers gained in Week 6 were the second-highest total by any team in 2009. The Browns are still losing but they are getting closer with each passing game and I think they could run the Steelers deep here especially if the Steelers fourth quarter woes continue

Pittsburgh started the season with only 1 win from their opening 3 games, but then ran off five wins on the trot and we were all taken by them again, but there was trouble brewing, when you watched their games you could see it, they have lost to sides they haven’t lost to in ages,including being swept by of all sides the Bengals!! The Steelers have blown fourth-quarter leads in their last 3 games all three, The last was perhaps the worst as the Raiders' 31st-ranked offense scored 21 points to rejoice with a 27-24 win. The Season isn’t over for the Steelers as they are only 2 wins behind Denver and One game behind the Jags but they will need to win today for sure and I expect them to try very hard to do just that,, they face sides in Big matches towards seasons end and games like this one today against a perceived weaker side are must have wins for this Steelers side who do still very much believe that they can go all the way again this season, I think they are dreaming but they sure can tell a good story. The Steelers play the Broncos and face the Ravens and Dolphins to close the season and with that in mind this game takes special focus for them as a must win. The Changes for the Steelers could be big with Ward uncertain to start with Wallace his replacement if he can’t go, while Polamalu will likely miss his fourth straight game and struggling corner back William Gay might not play after suffering a concussion against the Raiders.Tomlin has also suggested veteran corner Taylor could be benched, with rookies Joe Burnett and Keenan Lewis seeing more playing time in the secondary. Polamalu, who's played in three full games, has three interceptions, but no Pittsburgh corner back has a pick. The defence is looking weird but the QB Situation is good Roethlisberger in his last 2 games has a quarterback rating over 100.0 for his second straight game despite Sunday's loss, and against the Browns earlier this season. was 23 of 35 for 417 yards and two touchdowns.

The Steelers have won the first game of this Series this season 27-14 at home and Overall in the last 10 meetings the Steelers are 10-0 and are also 6-3 ATS in those matches, the Steelers have won 5 in a row over the Browns in Cleveland and are 3-1-1 ATS in those matches, the Total has been passed in 6 of the last 10 times that these two sides have met and of the 5 games in Cleveland 3 of the last 5 have resulted in over the total, This total set today at 33 has been passed in 8 of the last 10 meetings and of the 5 games in Cleveland this total has been passed in 4 of those 5 matches.

In the Steelers 27-14 win earlier this season Roethlisberger threw for 417 yards while completing nine passes of 20-plus yards, it’s hard to see that happening today especially if Hines Ward doesn’t take the field for the Steelers as his status is not yet cleared, so the Steelrs should try the rush and should get some joy there from a Browns Rush defence allowing over 150 ypg on the season, also we have to take into account how many of the Browns defence is banged up and out for this game, so I’m willing to give the Steelers 18-24 points in this match with a possible straight drive in each quarter for points, now on the other side we all know that the Browns suck but Brady Quinn has actually been great since their last national TV game disaster against the Ravens, Quinn has thrown 112 passes the past three games with no interceptions and with Tomlin Coach of the Steelers saying that he could have changes to his secondary with Quinn hitting some form I think we could benefit from that and so I’m prepared to give the Browns 14-17 Points in this game and that covers the rather small total set on this match, The start on this game is fair for the Steelers but I don’t trust them and will more than likely go with the browns to cover it, the Steelrs and the Browns both have negative Turnover ratios on their seasons and for either side in their last few games, however the Browns have improved in their last 3 games while the The Steelers have stayed the same in their last few matches…I like the Browns here and for this Total to go Over as the main bet….Good Luck.

This is for Edmonds……

Bro, I’m not going to get into anything with you, I just can’t be fucked….But I will say this….I can understand when newbies or visitors to the site have something negative to say towards the Tipsters, but the one thing that really gets me is when Members of this site who can tip on the games if they so wish come along and post shit like “I take Pacers ML” Especially to a New Member on their first post, could’t give him/her any Positive criticism? No Good Luck, no nothing but that, a worthless post on a new Members tip…Great work Man, Awesome.

Many of you don’t get me, that’s cool most of you wouldn’t, we come from different places and have had different life experiences, but respect for anyone who tried at anything for me is a must, Like me or not, I don’t care as I have already said we are different in many ways, but Respect is Universal, For myself it is everything and I’m not talking that Bullshit Hollywood movie respect either, I’m talking plain Old fashioned Respect for everyone in general, Many of you will know that I have argued with People on here before, In fact for some of you it was probably Funny, But I have never hid the Person I am and never will, I’m confrontational, even when talking like this on a screen, I try not to be but I just can’t help it, But I have never started an Argument on here by outright demanding one either, Every person I have argued with on here has been over belittling others, I like this site, I am glad to step aside for others to post and many have with new members arriving here, But I don’t get into the whole “I’m better than you shit” Not at all, I have said before and I’ll say it again, “No One is perfect, Everyone is just one win away from a loss” and you can’t say that that isn’t true, Show me someone who’s perfect and I’ll ask him for proof and in the world of Gambling I bet they can’t, No one is perfect, no one.

Anyways that’s enough, I don’t like Members posting on other members tips unless it is a good argument of to encourage them, to proclaim you are right and they are wrong or to not even offer that much is just Bullocks to me, Tale it how you want it…..I’m only writing this to Justify what I said today to a member of this site, Maybe I did , maybe I didn’t at least I tried…..If you want to have an argument them PM me....I won't be checking this tip again and don't want to ruin the site by arguing in public anymore, If you do then I hope you like arguing with yourself.

Good Luck with this Bet.