Super League - Aris Thessaloniki v Panionios

[b]Aris - Panionios: Panionios (+0.75 AH) @ 1.76 (10bet) 7/10[/b]

Prices on Aris have been dropping today, but no reason we could ever get this price for this line, given the circumstances of the game.

Aris currently with new coach, who had a rough slap in the derby game last week. In this game, the team will look to bounce back, but my guess is this will be hard to do.

1. Absences: Aris missing important midfielder Nafti (replacement Rovas, much weaker) and very important defender Nasouti (with Ronaldo also out, defender duo Robergue and Kouloucheris have their first game together and this is a big problem against such a skillful attacking side like Panionios).

2. Formation: Aris under Cooper has a formation rarely used in modern football and rarely used by Aris in a long time. 4-4-2 from Aris with Fernandez and Rovas in midfield against Nikolaou, Castellione and Koumortzi could be in trouble and I doubt they will have all the posession of ball they will need to cause more trouble than Panionios is guaranteed to cause to Aris in this game.

I mean, Panionios is the most in form side in the league, with skillful Estoyanoff back in the line up to add even more to it is hard to hold back. Aris will be very motivated to redeem themselves, but then again, they need a perfect game to do that. They can do that, but it is about probabilities we're talking here. WHAT IS EXPECTED is a repetition of things here, with Aris struggling to score at home and Panionios being lethal in attack and not Aris ruling a game vs a better right now imo opponent. So, with half stake only lost in case of Aris one goal win, this bet is huge value. Prices for Aris dropping, I see no reason about it, so it is weird really. No latest news, nothing pointing to that. Don't always like to be me against the market, but in this case, I will do that in confidence we're good. GL!

Pick : Panionios +0.75 AH
Odds : 1.76
Stake : 7 / 10
Bookmaker : 12bet
Match Result : 1-1
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